ICE³ Model
Our product details the probability of ice being present at any place in the Arctic for any day of the coming year.
PolArctic developed a neural network algorithm that trains on historical data and trends and is then able to forecast up to a year in the future ice break up and ice freeze in the Arctic, enabling planning of future operations and risk assessment.
Additionally, Ice³ can be tailored to meet the scale of our clients requests. Ice predictions can range from the extent of a specific inlet, pan-Arctic, or a route taken by ships. Ice³ delivers 4km resolution, actionable information invaluable to understanding when and how ice freeze or thaw is anticipated to happen.
Ice Trace
The pan-Arctic ice trace plot shows the Ice³ Model forecast ice extent prediction for 2018. In green, is the PolArctic neural network algorithm forecast. The orange line shows the measured ice extent for 2018.
High Resolution Forecast Ice Extent
PolArctic can create a high resolution regional forecaster for any area of the Arctic. The Multisensor Analyzed Sea Ice Extent (MASIE) 4km resolution data set was used for training, in a similar architecture to the Ice³ AI model.
Ice Evolution
To show ice freeze/melt geographically over time PolArctic created the ice evolution plot. Colors indicate when a location has a freeze event during a time window. This image shows the Chukchi Sea and the Bering Straight with Russia on the left and Alaska on the Right.